https://www.bernieandsky.com/blog-1 daily 0.75 2024-12-04 https://www.bernieandsky.com/blog-1/december-3-2024 monthly 0.5 2024-12-04 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66281de81db2c96bb333488a/e6e3242e-3eb8-476c-ae0e-536e14431e21/dec1.jpg Blog 1 - December 3, 2024 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66281de81db2c96bb333488a/66ff9a2a-ba0e-4f6d-9ade-e70a082903b6/dec2.jpg Blog 1 - December 3, 2024 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.bernieandsky.com/blog-1/november-6-2024 monthly 0.5 2024-11-06 https://www.bernieandsky.com/blog-1/october-11-2024 monthly 0.5 2024-10-11 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66281de81db2c96bb333488a/e0cef0cd-fc2f-4a6b-8620-2856eec1a28f/IMG_0071.jpg Blog 1 - October 11, 2024 - Make it stand out Historical NQ Performance after the first rate cut. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66281de81db2c96bb333488a/ecc45edd-9d60-494c-9163-cfd2f1d45d1a/unnamed+%281%29.jpg Blog 1 - October 11, 2024 - Make it stand out SP500 performance after the first rate cut during the GFC. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66281de81db2c96bb333488a/4b822460-5162-4c80-82ed-7f6dd63182ff/Screenshot+2024-10-11+092929.png Blog 1 - October 11, 2024 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66281de81db2c96bb333488a/aedac360-a830-4011-b96a-02b0a873278e/Screenshot+2024-10-11+093021.png Blog 1 - October 11, 2024 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66281de81db2c96bb333488a/a3058471-ba6f-4b8c-908d-4cad7334c762/IMG_0078.jpg Blog 1 - October 11, 2024 - Make it stand out Google search trends of individuals searching, 'how to declare bankruptcy', on the rise. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66281de81db2c96bb333488a/c1384c96-abde-47ae-987c-047b1348093a/IMG_0077.jpg Blog 1 - October 11, 2024 - Make it stand out Google search trends of individuals searching, 'personal loan', on the rise. https://www.bernieandsky.com/blog-1/september-18-2024 monthly 0.5 2024-09-18 https://www.bernieandsky.com/blog-1/september-13-2024 monthly 0.5 2024-09-13 https://www.bernieandsky.com/blog-1/september-9-2024 monthly 0.5 2024-09-09 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66281de81db2c96bb333488a/ec476e36-6274-4059-a31b-c3498baa5ced/Screenshot+2024-09-08+214147.png Blog 1 - September 9, 2024 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66281de81db2c96bb333488a/54c6b021-660d-408d-969c-33a79e8de172/Screenshot+2024-09-08+214659.png Blog 1 - September 9, 2024 - Make it stand out Stock Market when Democrats win (Ignore the overlay - it is from 2020). Volatility after election day, but we rally into December. 2024 SPX YTD does look somewhat similar to this chart. So I am looking for protection end of September, or selling. Stay safe. Disclaimer: Please note that all information shared here is for informational purposes only and not intended as financial advice. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66281de81db2c96bb333488a/89b2b40d-62dd-498f-bc7b-b0d597234195/Screenshot+2024-09-08+214708.png Blog 1 - September 9, 2024 - Make it stand out Stock Market when Republicans win (Ignore the overlay - it is from 2020) ; rally after election day. Red chart below does not look like 2024 YTD. https://www.bernieandsky.com/blog-1/august-23-2024 monthly 0.5 2024-08-23 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66281de81db2c96bb333488a/a30d275e-a0d2-463c-ae13-debe76dccb79/Screenshot+2024-08-23+161837.png Blog 1 - August 23, 2024 - Make it stand out I believe the graphical plotting is better to view this data. We appear to have dipped down (sub 25) to hit 'Extreme Fear', just as we did in October 2023. We all remember what a tremendous rally occurred afterwards. In my experience, such a big portion of individuals wrongly positioned after such a big rally has negative consequences for those incorrectly positioned, sort of like a perverse feedback loop. Those who shorted, still believe they are right but early, and those who shorted and now believe they are wrong are waiting for their opportune moment. While those who went risk-on and went long (as myself) took profits way too early. I believe this only just fuels the rally, as individuals like myself will look to buy any dips within standard deviations or touching the Bollinger bands. Did I buy yesterday? You bet I did! It was just what I was looking for on 8/21/24, and mentioned that we were expecting and betting (higher probabilities) for a move down, and we saw it. Around a 2% move from top to bottom for the Qs, and knowing Jerome Powell will not stray from his mandate and thinking it seemed like a sale was going on. Powell signaled that the time has come to cut interest rates. The market reacted accordingly with IWM up around 3% and VNQ (real estate) up around 2% ; both very rate sensitive markets, market participants voted with their hard-earned dollar today. See below: https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66281de81db2c96bb333488a/454b9356-e177-4467-8946-0804baf753a9/GVbz_lmWcAEO8Jg.jpeg Blog 1 - August 23, 2024 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66281de81db2c96bb333488a/d08599c9-3a92-4ec6-95e0-ec74d3435fd6/Screenshot+2024-08-23+163100.png Blog 1 - August 23, 2024 - Make it stand out Earlier I mentioned that the put/call ratio is very low and another trader (The_Short_Bear) also noted this, it was at .47. Now, let's see what happened, it went from .47 to .74 ; this is about a 57% increase in a matter of days! Exactly what I wanted to see when deciding to get risk-on. Many once again mispositioned for the upside today, causing a massive rally. Positions that are standing out: CAVA (Massive earnings move, nearly 20% up today.) SG (Sympathy play from CAVA earnings.) TEM (Recent IPO, I am seeing the lock-up period ends in 12/24, need to verify this.) AMZN/CRM/WMT (As long as the consumer survives this storm and we get some decent economic headwinds they both should do well) ZETA (SAS company) Stay safe friends! Disclaimer: Please note that all information shared here is for informational purposes only and not intended as financial advice. https://www.bernieandsky.com/blog-1/august-21-2024 monthly 0.5 2024-08-21 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66281de81db2c96bb333488a/0ea067f1-1637-41ee-b889-45db4887984c/unnamed.jpg Blog 1 - August 21, 2024 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66281de81db2c96bb333488a/3a084771-25d2-4b6f-84d4-16dbb2117e8c/Screenshot+2024-08-21+105320.png Blog 1 - August 21, 2024 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66281de81db2c96bb333488a/454b9356-e177-4467-8946-0804baf753a9/GVbz_lmWcAEO8Jg.jpeg Blog 1 - August 21, 2024 - Make it stand out Above you see that the we are experiencing the lowest put/call ratio since 2023, as he shared on his Twitter. This game of trading only works if there is a loser. Unfortunately, most do not win, as I shared earlier this month; retail investors sold an inordinate amount of their holdings during the mini-panic we had in August. I believe many were not able to make considerable gains during this move up, and possibly are negative or at best net neutral for their PnL for August 2024. What does this mean? It means everyone is on the long side or trying to get long as they missed the boat, and if everyone is on the long side, that means you must be cautious. Does it mean to short? No. Does it mean to sell all your holdings? No. Just be cautious moving forward, we have experienced about a 450pt or 7% move from 5150 to 5600 in 15 days, and if we count business days it is even less (12 days)! What to possibly expect from September, from the StockTradersAlmanac (great resource). We have once again followed seasonal patterns (to an extent) and let's see if the bottom holds true. https://www.bernieandsky.com/blog-1/august-14-2024 monthly 0.5 2024-08-14 https://www.bernieandsky.com/blog-1/august-6-2024 monthly 0.5 2024-08-07 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66281de81db2c96bb333488a/fde03cba-79bc-4950-94dd-5eddc1c01fe6/image_123650291+%284%29.JPG Blog 1 - August 6, 2024 - Make it stand out Whatever it is, the way you tell your story online can make all the difference. https://www.bernieandsky.com/blog-1/june-20-2024 monthly 0.5 2024-06-20 https://www.bernieandsky.com/blog-1/june-13-2024 monthly 0.5 2024-06-20 https://www.bernieandsky.com/blog-1/may-7-2024 monthly 0.5 2024-05-07 https://www.bernieandsky.com/blog-1/Blog Post Title One-5akxe monthly 0.5 2024-04-25 https://www.bernieandsky.com/home daily 1.0 2024-08-23 https://www.bernieandsky.com/about daily 0.75 2024-09-14 https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/66281de81db2c96bb333488a/1713995251431-AEBTCY63227KJ67VC6UZ/image-asset.jpeg